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An Approach

William A. Hargreaves, PhD

Arch Gen Psychiatry. 1986;43(7):701-705.

Abstract
• A theory of psychiatric treatment systems may be approached using stochastic probability models. Theory construction proceeds in six stages corresponding to broad assumptions about the causal relationships among variables affecting the life course and treatment encounters of members of a target population. The theory is progressively refined to describe short-term life changes, longer-term life-course modifiers, predictors of treatment utilization, treatment system policies, and treatment effects. The ultimate aim is to forecast the effects of policy change.

Author Affiliations
From the Departments of Psychiatry, University of California, San Francisco and San Francisco General Hospital.

Footnotes
Accepted for publication March 30, 1985.

Reprint requests to Department of Psychiatry, San Francisco General Hospital, Room 7M36, 1001 Potrero Ave, San Francisco, CA 94110 (Dr Hargreaves).

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